This series answers one question for each team following the Week 13 games (usually looking ahead and ‘what does this mean?’). It uses advanced metrics, analytics, game tape reviews, statistical trends, and myriad other elements. It features a variety of systems, many of which are covered in this primer article and reviewed in greater detail at www.TheFootballScientist.com.
(Note: The EPA metrics detailed below are per TruMedia. Other advanced metrics outside of KC’s unique metrics are per TruMedia/PFF, unless otherwise noted. Fantasy point totals are in full PPR environments.)
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What should fantasy managers make of Zach Ertz’s terrible Week 13 numbers?
Ertz arrived in Arizona in Week 7 and had a fantasy impact over the next six games, as he ranked third among tight ends in points per game in that span and racked up 28.8 points in Week 11 against Seattle.
That trend came to a halt in Week 13, as Ertz tallied only one catch for 10 yards and two fantasy points, but Kyler Murray only threw 15 passes on the day due to a combination of bad weather and Arizona being up 14-0 after the first quarter and 21-7 at halftime.
