Senate Republicans on Wednesday are working to lock down votes within their conference to pave the way for bypassing the filibuster on a debt ceiling vote. 

As part of the agreement, the Senate will take an initial vote Thursday on a bill that prevents Medicare cuts and greenlights a one-time exemption from the filibuster for a subsequent debt ceiling bill.

At least 10 GOP senators will be needed to get the legislation that eases the way for the simple-majority debt ceiling vote through the Senate. 

GOP leadership is feeling confident that they’ll be able to round up the votes. 

But they aren’t there yet. Asked if he was saying they currently had 10 GOP “yes” votes locked in or that they would have 10 GOP votes by the time the vote started, Thune quipped with a laugh: “Well, it’s the same right?.” 

Eleven GOP senators previously helped advance a short-term debt hike in early October. But GOP leaders won’t be able to lean on the exact same mash up of Republicans. 

Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellSchumer tees up key Thursday vote on debt deal House approves bill to ease passage of debt limit hike Senate rejects attempt to block Biden’s Saudi arms sale MORE (R-Ky.), John ThuneJohn Randolph ThuneHouse approves bill to ease passage of debt limit hike McConnell faces GOP pushback on debt deal McConnell ‘confident’ 10 GOP senators will back debt deal MORE (R-S.D.), the No. 2 GOP senator, Roy BluntRoy Dean BluntHouse approves bill to ease passage of debt limit hike McConnell faces GOP pushback on debt deal McConnell ‘confident’ 10 GOP senators will back debt deal MORE (R-Mo.), the No. 4 GOP senator, and John CornynJohn CornynHouse approves bill to ease passage of debt limit hike McConnell faces GOP pushback on debt deal Senate leaders face pushback on tying debt fight to defense bill MORE (R-Texas), a close McConnell ally, are expected to support the procedural bill. 

But Sen. John BarrassoJohn Anthony BarrassoCongress averts shutdown after vaccine mandate fight Sunday shows – Spotlight shifts to omicron variant Barrasso calls Biden’s agenda ‘Alice in Wonderland’ logic: ‘He’s the Mad Hatter’ MORE (R-Wyo.), the No. 3 Senate Republican, hasn’t yet said how he will vote. He was one of the 11 GOP senators who helped advance the debt hike in October. 

Sens. Shelley Moore CapitoShelley Wellons Moore CapitoOvernight Energy & Environment — Presented by ExxonMobil — Biden may get reprieve with gas price drop McConnell faces GOP pushback on debt deal Stabenow calls for expansion of school mental health services MORE (R-W.Va.) and Rob PortmanRobert (Rob) Jones PortmanHillicon Valley — Presented by Connected Commerce Council — Incident reporting language left out of package Language requiring companies to report cyberattacks left out of defense bill GOP ramps up attacks on SALT deduction provision MORE (R-Ohio), who were both “yes” votes in October, are similarly mum. Portman said he hadn’t decided, while Capito indicated that she was waiting until the vote to make her position known. 

“I’m just going to wait and see what happens tomorrow. …I’ve made the decision,” Capito said. 

Asked if she was waiting to see if leadership needed her vote, Capito added: “No, no, no.” 

Sens. Richard ShelbyRichard Craig ShelbyHouse approves bill to ease passage of debt limit hike McConnell faces GOP pushback on debt deal Senate leaders face pushback on tying debt fight to defense bill MORE (R-Ala.) and Mike RoundsMike RoundsHouse approves bill to ease passage of debt limit hike McConnell faces GOP pushback on debt deal Senate leaders face pushback on tying debt fight to defense bill MORE (R-S.D.), who were also among the 11 GOP senators who helped in October, said they would vote no on Thursday or were leaning toward voting no, respectively. 

Republicans had initially voiced hope on Tuesday that tying the rule setting up the simple majority debt vote to preventing Medicare cuts could help them shore up more support from within the Senate Republican caucus. 

But GOP leadership on Wednesday predicted that it wouldn’t move the needle too much and that the number of GOP senators who help advance the debt deal on Thursday will be close to the same number from October. 

“Whether or not it is additive in terms of the vote total, hard to say. If it is, just slightly. I don’t think there’s going to be a big impact,” he said. 

A second GOP senator predicted that the number of GOP “yes” votes wouldn’t get into the high teens, but that the Medicare issue could win them over an additional handful. 

There are Republicans outside of the 11 GOP senators who helped advance the October debt hike that are viewed as potential “yes” votes on Thursday. 

Sen. Roger WickerRoger Frederick WickerHillicon Valley — Chinese disinformation accounts removed GOP resistance to Biden FCC nominee could endanger board’s Democratic majority Bottom line MORE (R-Miss.), who voted no in early October, but is viewed as a potential yes vote for Thursday’s vote and told reporters on Tuesday that ‘we’re moving in the right direction.” 

Sen. Thom TillisThomas (Thom) Roland TillisGOP blocks bill to expand gun background checks after Michigan school shooting Overnight Defense & National Security — A new plan to treat Marines ‘like human beings’ Republicans press Milley over perceived progressive military agenda MORE (R-N.C.) indicated that he was continuing to study it, but that he thought it accomplished the same goal as reconciliation because it forces Democrats to ultimately raise the debt ceiling on their own and to a specific number. 

“I feel like we’ve come up with something that’s very similar to what we were talking about earlier over the summer in terms of reconciliation,” Tillis said. 

Thune said that leadership is looking beyond just the 11 “yes” votes from October as they round up support for Thursday’s vote. 

“There’s some different combinations than what we saw last time,” he said.